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Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. (CWAN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Clearwater delivered a strong first quarter as an integrated company: revenue $205.1M (+77% YoY), non-GAAP gross margin 78.5%, and adjusted EBITDA $70.7M (+84% YoY); both revenue and EBITDA exceeded internal guidance, with revenue also above consensus. Hedge fund demand and margin efficiency from GenAI and integration were key drivers .
  • Q4 2025 guidance was set at revenue $216–$217M and adjusted EBITDA $73M (34% margin), and FY 2025 guidance increased to revenue $730–$731M and EBITDA $247M (34% margin), signaling confidence in continued execution and synergy realization .
  • KPIs remained durable: ARR $807.5M (+77% YoY), GRR 98%, and NRR 108% (down modestly from 110% in Q2 on lower AUM tailwinds and upsell), with organic ARR accelerating sequentially to $534.4M (+$21.7M QoQ) .
  • Catalysts: margin expansion ahead of expectations; new Q4 and raised FY guidance; deleveraging and buybacks; expanding cross-sell in alternatives and risk (70% bookings growth); and 800+ AI agents deployed across >$10T client assets supporting operational transformation .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong beat vs internal guidance: revenue topped the high end by >$1M and EBITDA was >$5M above guide; EBITDA margin expanded to 34.5% (+140 bps YoY) on integration and GenAI efficiency .
  • Durable KPIs with broad-based bookings: ARR $807.5M (+77% YoY), GRR 98%, and momentum across insurance, asset owners, asset managers, and hedge funds; two recent seven-figure risk deals highlight Beacon traction .
  • GenAI scaled in production: 800+ AI agents delivering 90% reduction in manual reconciliation, 80% faster report generation, and 50% faster financial close; management: “the use of GenAI is continuing to accelerate… we achieved 78.5% gross margins for the integrated business” .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP profitability impacted by integration-related costs and interest: GAAP net loss of $(10.5)M; GAAP gross margin declined YoY to 65.6% (Q3’24: 72.9%) despite non-GAAP margin stability .
  • Net revenue retention stepped down to 108% from 110% in Q2, driven by lower AUM tailwind and lighter upsell contributions; hedge fund NRR weighed on consolidated expansion .
  • Debt remains elevated post acquisitions ($838.9M total debt), though management is actively deleveraging ($40M repaid in Q3) and repurchasing shares ($8.9M within announced $100M buyback) .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$115.8 $181.9 $205.1
GAAP Gross Margin %72.9% 65.1% 65.6%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %78.5% 77% 78.5%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$38.3 $58.3 $70.7
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %33% 32% 34.5%
GAAP Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$4.8 $(24.2) $(10.5)
Non-GAAP Net Income ($USD Millions)$31.0 $34.8 $40.6
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.02 $(0.09) $(0.04)
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.12 $0.12 $0.14
KPIsQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
ARR ($USD Millions)$493.9 $783.5 $807.5
GRR %98% 98% 98%
NRR % (Consolidated)114% 110% 108%
Organic ARR ($USD Millions)$513.0 $534.4
Balance Sheet SnapshotQ2 2025Q3 2025
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Investments ($USD Millions)$71.9 $64.1
Total Debt, net of issuance costs ($USD Millions)$878.1 $838.9

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q4 2025$216–$217 New
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)Q4 2025$73 New
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %Q4 202534% New
Revenue ($USD Millions)FY 2025$726–$732 $730–$731 Raised (midpoint up)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2025$232–$237 $247 Raised
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %FY 2025~32% 34% Raised
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q3 2025$203–$204 ACTUAL: $205.1 Beat vs guidance
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)Q3 2025~$65 ACTUAL: $70.7 Beat vs guidance

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
GenAI and margin efficiencyQ1: GM 78.9% core; Helios & agentic workflows . Q2: non-GAAP GM 77.4% and Helios impact .800+ AI agents; 90% reconciliation reduction; 80% faster reporting; 78.5% non-GAAP GM for integrated business .Improving
Cross-sell momentumQ1: building cross-sell org (Wilshire model) . Q2: record bookings; synergy and pipeline .70% YoY growth in bookings for LPX/MLX/Prism/Risk; robust pipeline .Improving
Enfusion commercial modelQ1: plan to redesign over months . Q2: approach and durability .Rollout for new clients on Jan 1, 2026, then existing base; aim for 4–5% annual net price uplift via broader base .Progressing
Risk/Beacon tractionQ2: VKB front-to-back win; client interest .Two seven-digit risk deals signed; cross-sell to hedge funds and asset managers .Improving
Alternatives (LPX/MLX)Q1: LPX/MLX adoption in asset managers/insurance . Q2: continued momentum .Alternatives bookings up >35% of mix and 70% YoY growth across LPX/MLX/Risk/Prism .Improving
International expansionQ2: VKB and multiple EMEA/APAC wins .Board adds global leaders; wins across Latin America (FLAR) and Europe .Improving
Hedge fund marketQ2: record bookings; conversions; churn normalized .Strong Q2 and Q3; forecasting a solid Q4; NRR headwind being addressed .Improving bookings; retention evolving
Retention metricsQ1 core NRR 114% . Q2 consolidated NRR 110% .NRR 108% on lower AUM tailwind and lighter upsell; GRR 98% .Slightly weaker
Deleveraging & buybacksQ2 debt $872M; stated deleveraging plan .$40M debt repaid; $8.9M buyback within $100M program .Improving leverage profile

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We achieved 78.5% gross margins for the integrated business… the use of GenAI is continuing to accelerate and is outpacing our own assessment of the margin improvement it can drive.” .
  • CFO: “Adjusted EBITDA was $70.7 million… EBITDA margin expanded meaningfully to 34.5%… any question about margin synergy can be put to bed. Now we are squarely focused on growth… We expect fourth quarter EBITDA to be $73 million… full year margin of 34%.” .
  • CEO on AI: “Our platform hosts over 800 AI agents… clients have seen 90% reductions in manual reconciliation… 80% faster regulatory reporting, and 50% faster financial close cycles” .
  • CFO on retention drivers: “We achieved 98%… gross retention… Net revenue retention rate was 108%… price increases just under 3%, cross-sell just under 3%, upsell just under 3%, AUM and other <1%” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Pipeline strength and breadth: Bookings evenly spread across segments; alternatives and risk standout; hedge funds strong in Q2/Q3 with expected Q4 strength .
  • ARR dynamics: Organic ARR accelerated sequentially; lumpiness from larger deals and onboarding timing; expectation for Q4 acceleration .
  • Enfusion commercial model: New pricing model for all new clients Jan 1, 2026; phased rollout to existing clients in 2026; focus on value alignment rather than headline price hikes .
  • AI monetization: GenAI primarily drives margin and operational benefits; monetization embedded via next-gen client reporting and product adoption (e.g., Prism) rather than standalone AI pricing .
  • Alternatives penetration: LPX expected across entire insurance base over next few years; MLX and Prism gaining momentum; white space across asset owners .

Estimates Context

MetricQ3 2025 ConsensusQ3 2025 ActualResult
Revenue ($USD Millions)$203.6*$205.1 Beat
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$0.137*$0.14 Beat
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$64.6*$70.7 Beat
ForwardConsensusCompany Guidance
Q4 2025 Revenue ($USD Millions)$216.7*$216–$217
Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$73.0*$73
FY 2025 Revenue ($USD Millions)$730.2*$730–$731
FY 2025 Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$245.0*$247

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Implications: Consensus appears aligned with the company’s Q4 guide; FY EBITDA guidance moved above consensus, likely prompting upward estimate revisions. The Q3 beat was driven by hedge fund revenue upside and efficiency gains, supporting estimate momentum into Q4/FY .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Strong execution on first integrated quarter: revenue and EBITDA beats vs guidance and consensus; margin expansion ahead of expectations supports near-term sentiment .
  • Guidance raised for FY EBITDA and margin to 34%, signaling confidence in synergy capture and GenAI-enabled efficiency; potential for further estimate upgrades .
  • Durable KPIs with improving organic ARR and broad-based bookings; watch NRR recovery as AUM tailwinds normalize and cross-sell/upsell ramp into 2026 .
  • GenAI at production scale is a differentiator; early client outcomes (90% reconciliation reduction, 80% faster reporting) indicate sustained margin leverage and product monetization via embedded workflows (Prism, risk) .
  • Enfusion pricing model shift begins January 2026; expect commercial alignment to support NRR expansion and revenue quality over 2026–2027 .
  • Deleveraging underway (2.7x net debt/annualized Q3 EBITDA) and active buybacks ($8.9M in Q3) provide capital allocation flexibility into 2026 .
  • Trading lens: Near-term catalysts include Q4 execution in hedge funds and cross-sell momentum in alternatives and risk; medium-term thesis rests on integrated front-to-back platform delivery and NRR path to 115% .